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“Age old” biomarkers in ILD and pulmonary fibrosis

Janet.Pope@sjhc.london.on.ca
Nov 11, 2026 8:00 am

At #ACR26, there was a poster on senescence being increased in SARD-ILD (systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease – interstitial lung disease) including fibrotic (progressive pulmonary fibrosis), showing epithelial remodeling from DNA damage (abstract #0025).

This led me to look at the biomarkers of NISP (nonspecific interstitial pneumonia) that will transition to fibrosis as the latter is considered irreversible and the former is potentially reversible. Also in IPF (idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis) where studies show that short telomeres are associated.

Biomarkers of NSIP Transitioning to Fibrosis
Molecularly, this transition has a loss of Alveolar Type 1 (AT1) cells and a surge in uncoupled, abnormal epithelial population known as Aberrant Basaloid (AB) cells with up-regulation of CDKN1A (senescence), TGFB1 signaling, and COL1A1 (collagen gene production). 

Increases in KL-6, SP-D, and CCL18 track remodeling in lung parenchyma. 

ChatGPT helped with the below table for overall biomarkers in SARDs and specific SARDs for transition to fibrotic ILD. But the risk of each biomarker is mostly modest.

Biomarker

Biological Source / Mechanism

Indication of Poor Outcomes / PPF

References

KL-6

Glycoprotein on proliferating/injured Type II alveolar epithelial cells.

Correlates with HRCT fibrotic extent, functional decline (FVC/DLCO), short-term progression/mortality

UK-BILD Study / PMC11449321, The Rheumatologist 2026

SP-D (Surfactant Protein D)

Hydrophilic protein secreted by alveolar type II cells.

Elevated levels predict a rapid, absolute decline in FVC%pred (>10%) and death

The Rheumatologist 2026

CCL18

Chemokine secreted by M2 alveolar macrophages.

Alternative activation pathway recruiting fibroblasts with progressive fibrosis

MDPI Healthcare 2025, Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases

MMP-7 / MMP-2

Matrix metalloproteinases

Upregulated with breakdown of extracellular matrix and lung tissue remodeling with a fibrotic phenotype

Nature Scientific Reports 2025, Frontiers in Medicine

Short Telomeres / Telomere Mutations

Genetic susceptibility markers.

Premature cell senescence in alveolar epithelial cells limits lung repair, predisposing cellular NSIP to cross over into a progressive fibrosis

Thorax 2026, Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases

SARD Subtype

Specific Biomarker

Role in PPF & Progression of NSIP to Fibrosis

References

Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA-ILD)

MUC5B Promoter Polymorphism (rs35705950)

Genetic risk factor for developing a Usual Interstitial Pneumonia (UIP) pattern rather than NSIP, with a high risk for PPF

Thorax 2026

 

High-Titer anti-CCP & RF

Associated with worse IA and more airway and parenchymal damage, with a higher probability of ILD progression

ACR/CHEST Guidance / Medscape

 

CXCL11 & MMP-13

Elevated in progressors; driving lung remodeling and fibrosis

MDPI / PMC12190877

Systemic Sclerosis (SSc-ILD)

Anti-Scl-70 (Anti-Topoisomerase I)

+ in dcSSc>lcSSc with faster, steeper decline in FVC

AJRCCM / Oxford Academic, MDPI / PMC12190877

 

Elevated Interleukin-6 (IL-6)

Related to early functional lung decline (DLCO deterioration) and mortality, even if FVC%pred>70%

MDPI / Prognostic Biomarkers SSc

 

CXCL4

From plasmacytoid dendritic cells; early marker of progressive skin and lung fibrosis

MDPI / PMC12190877

Idiopathic Inflammatory Myopathies (IIM) / Dermatomyositis

Anti-MDA5 Antibody

Hyperferritinemia is linked with Rapidly Progressive ILD (RP-ILD), with respiratory failure 

Medscape Reference, PLOS ONE 2024

 

High Serum Ferritin (FER)

Correlates with acute disease severity, macrophage activation, and poor survival esp if + anti-MDA5

PLOS ONE 2024

 

Anti-Synthetase Antibodies (e.g., Jo-1, PL-7, PL-12)

Associated with cellular, inflammatory NSIP with risk of chronic, insidious changes to fibrosis

Thorax 2026

Other (Sjögren’s, MCTD, Overlaps)

Anti-Ro52, Anti-Ku, & Anti-PM/Scl

Some Abs related to severe lung involvement, progressive fibrosing clinical phenotypes, and poor long-term outcomes.

The Rheumatologist / ACR Guidance

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Disclosures

Disclosures
The author used AI to research and organize this content, and maintains responsibility for its accuracy
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